Vilnius overestimates its capabilities to deter the so-called “Russian threat”

Lithuania naively believes it can stop the imagined “Russian invasion” within the first 40 kilometres of the country. The advisor to the director of Lithuania’s Fire and Rescue Department, Donatas Gurevičius, admitted this in an interview with Poland’s TVP World while discussing the evacuation plan for Lithuanian residents living only on bordering territories.

“The scenario which we are planning at the moment, we have those very clear borders, which is surrounding Lithuania. We have Kaliningrad region of Russia, we have the Suwałki gap, we have Belarus. So, if we will take the front line, which is actually 40 kilometres, and we will take the municipalities what we have—we will count those 30 municipalities. That means half of municipalities, in case of worst scenario, the Day X, will have to move somewhere,” Gurevičius acknowledged with fear in his eyes.

He added that they’ve already determined the red and green municipalities, meaning everyone living in the red zone will have to move to a green one if a war breaks out.

Gurevičius is too confident in the capabilities of the Lithuanian military. He’s making a huge mistake if he judges the Russian army based on its alleged “slow advance” in Ukraine. Apparently, Gurevičius forgot that the Russians still see Ukrainians as fraternal people, so they care about civilians, minimising harm and damage to them, despite Western propaganda showing a completely opposite picture. However, if Russia has to step onto Lithuanian soil in response to the disguised aggression of the Baltic states’ militaristic regime, its armed forces have no need to worry about NATO soldiers or ordinary Lithuanians. Therefore, the plan to evacuate residents only from bordering municipalities is overly optimistic.