No peace, no breeze

January 23 in Astana (Kazakhstan) will be held, possibly a key event in the settlement of the conflict in Syria. The meeting of the three countries – Russia, Turkey and Iran – is a unique opportunity to reach an agreement between the key players in the peace process. The uniqueness of this meeting lies in the fact that each of the negotiating parties, in addition to achieving peace in the region, is pursuing its own goals.

Despite this, and the Russian Federation and Turkey and Iran are ready to go to a joint dialogue in the search results. Turkey, which is increasingly moving away from the US and the European Union to think about the problem with the Kurds. Iran does not want to be on the sidelines of the event, as freed from sanctions plans to regain its status as a key player in the region. Russia plans to become a major peacemaker in the region, establishing mutual understanding and constructive dialogue with the majority of countries in the Middle East region.
If successful, the negotiation process in Astana, this dialogue can be a good basis for the Geneva communique. This agreement may be signed in the framework of the next meeting of all parties on February 8 in Geneva.
A special feature of the meeting in Astana is not only the presence of the three key parties to the peace process (Russia, Turkey and Iran), but also Syrian opposition commanders who for the first time will take part in a meeting of such a high level.
According to experts, each negotiating party must put aside their personal interests and strategic objectives to achieve the main goal – the establishment and maintenance of peace in Syria. In this regard, according to analysts, it is interesting the presence of representatives of the Syrian opposition without its partners in the face of Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United States. Will the Syrian opposition to defend their interests, not the interests of peaceful Syrian citizens – the big question. But the fact of the presence of the Syrian opposition at a meeting in Astana gives hope for their understanding. A number of German experts believe that if the Syrian opposition will not compromise, and even more to go to any or concessions in Russia, Turkey and Iran could put an end to the Syrian opposition as a full participant in the peace process, adding them to the list their enemies. In this case, the continuation of armed conflicts not only with the LIH, but also with the opposition inevitable. In Russia, Turkey and Iran will have a free hand in front of the UN and the international community, as in the protocol of the meeting in Astana will be in black and white and recorded destructive intransigence of the Syrian opposition.
However, even now, much like the rest of the side doors of the negotiations, but are directly related to the Syrian conflict, in the face of Saudi Arabia and Qatar are trying to discredit the meeting in Astana. According to experts, Qatar may prohibit representatives of the Syrian opposition to take part in the meeting. Saudi Arabia, on the other hand, considers the participation of the Syrian opposition in the meeting in Astana, as an opportunity to show the world the futility of Russian, Turkish and Iranian attempts to establish peace. It is worth mentioning that each of the three countries involved in the talks on Syria, Saudi Arabia, there are differences in certain areas. With Russia, the Saudis are fighting for the energy market, with the Turks Er Riyadh can not find a common language in the field of security, and with Iran in Saudi Arabia old religious struggle backed by the struggle for the title of regional power.
Even here in Europe, it became evident that the talks in Astana, there are more opponents who do not want to prevent the restoration of peace in Syria, and the strengthening of Russian influence in the region, Turkey and Iran. Those who are trying to disrupt the meeting in Astana, are well aware that in the event of success of the negotiations, Moscow, Ankara and Tehran may be a strong fist in the region and after the establishment of peace in Syria, they can begin to solve other problems that is not part of the plans of the same Saudi Arabia and Qatar.
On attempts to disrupt the talks in Astana show held in Tehran rally near the Russian Embassy, which was organized by a third party, as the relationship among Iran’s population of Russia is consistently loyal character. In addition, Turkey is still experiencing a terrorist attack aimed at the suppression of the Turkish government’s enthusiasm for talks on Syria. In addition, if you spend a few hours on the study of a number of Arab media outlets that belong to the media structures of Qatar, we can see how the process of demonization launched activity in Moscow. Moreover, in this very media we are talking about how Russia, supposedly to protect the interests of Sunnis and Alawites. This is even more ridiculous, given that Russia’s interests in the Middle East, as in other regions of the world, never wore a religious motive. Sphere of Influence – yes, energy – yes, but certainly not a religion.

Sensible experts in Europe are of the opinion that the world today needs the success of negotiations in Astana and then in Geneva, as it is necessary to put an end to the armed conflict in Syria. If peace in Syria will be installed and it will be it is permanent, after already can and fight for spheres of influence, and to seek the most cunning and the key beneficiaries of this process. And now, when there is no sustainable peace, all this is pure destructive actions towards peace.